Archive - ForeWord

Could one country outgrow the rest of the world?

When countries grow at the same exponential rate, they maintain their relative sizes. But after we develop AGI, there may be a period of…

Aug 21 •

How to make the future better (other than by reducing extinction risk)

A summary of a new essay.

Aug 15 •

The trajectory of the future could soon get set in stone

A summary of our new paper, "Persistent Path-Dependence."

Aug 11 •

Will morally motivated actors steer us towards a near-best future?

A summary of our new paper, “Convergence and Compromise”.

Aug 8 •

and

How Quick and Big Would a Software Intelligence Explosion Be?

AI systems may soon fully automate AI R&D.

Aug 7 •

and

Is eutopia the default outcome post-AGI?

In the new paper “No Easy Eutopia”, we argue that reaching a truly great future will be very hard.

Aug 6 •

and

Should we aim for flourishing over mere survival?

The Better Futures series.

Aug 4 •

June 2025

The Industrial Explosion

Once AI can automate human labour, positive feedback loops could lead to a rapid increase in physical capabilities as well as cognitive ones.

Jun 26 •

and

May 2025

Human Takeover Might be Worse than AI Takeover

Some are concerned that future AI systems could take over the world.

May 28 •

April 2025

AI-enabled coups: how a small group could use AI to seize power

The development of AI that is more broadly capable than humans will create a new and serious threat: AI-enabled coups. An AI-enabled coup is most likely…

Apr 16 •

The AI Adoption Gap: Preparing the US Government for Advanced AI

Advanced AI could unlock an era of enlightened and competent government action. But without smart, active investment, we’ll squander that opportunity…

Apr 2 •

March 2025

Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?

Once AI fully automates AI R&D, there might be a period of fast and accelerating software progress – a software intelligence explosion (SIE).

Mar 28 •

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