Humans Are Not Chinchillas: Revisiting “How Quick and Big Would A Software Intelligence Explosion Be?”

This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.

Oct 5 • James Tillman

10

1

1

Current AIs out-persuade professionals in lab settings but (probably) not in the world

This article was created by Forethought. See all of our research on our website.

Oct 5 • Linch

24

1

7

September 2026

A Thousand AI Constitutions: A Short Defense

A guest post by Simon Goldstein and Peter N. Salib.

Sep 28 • Simon Goldstein and Peter Salib

11

5

2

Data bottlenecks won’t prevent an intelligence explosion

But they will slow it down

Sep 9 • Tom Davidson

25

3

4

Should We Hand Off the Most Important Decisions to AI?

A podcast episode from Forethought

Sep 4 • Fin Moorhouse

8

2

A nightwatchman on every probe

Superintelligent surveillance to prevent galactic anarchy

Sep 1 • Mia Taylor and Oscar Delaney

15

2

1

August 2026

The Dynamics of Intelligence Explosions

A guest article by Toby Ord.

Aug 29 • Toby Ord

18

6

4

Notes on Implications of Scale-Dependent Algorithms

This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.

Aug 13 • James Tillman

28

3

4

July 2026

Liberalism Forever

A podcast episode from Forethought

Jul 31 • Fin Moorhouse

30

6

Should Philanthropists Save Their Money for the Intelligence Explosion?

A podcast episode from Forethought

Jul 30 • Forethought

3

Policy ideas to ensure responsible government deployment of AI

This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.

Jul 22 • Stefan Torges

25

4

Speed-up calculator: How much will automating AI R&D speed up AI software progress, absent a software intelligence explosion?

A tool for calculating how much automating AI R&D will speed up AI progress, even if there’s no software intelligence explosion.

Jul 21 • Tom Davidson and Tom Houlden

8